BRC Asia Limited: Riding the construction upcycle

BRC Asia is a leading steel reinforcement solutions provider with an integrated processing, fabrication, prefabrication and trading business. It delivered record 9MFY26 revenue and resilient margins, supported by Singapore’s construction upcycle, a SGD1.69 billion order book and its Malaysian operations. We initiate a BUY rating along with a SGD 5.26 target price which implies 25.2% upside potential.

Tan Qiuyi Charmaine
Tan Qiuyi Charmaine14 Sep 2026Views
BRC Asia Limited: Riding the construction upcycle

Initiation Coverage
BRC Asia Limited (SGX: BEC)
BUY: SGD 5.26 (+25.2%)

  • BRC Asia is a market leader in steel reinforcement solutions, with operations across Singapore, Malaysia and China, supplying rebar, wire mesh, cages and other prefabricated steel products to construction end-users across Southeast Asia. The Group operates across three reportable segments: Fabrication and Manufacturing, Trading, and Others.
  • Record 9MFY26 performance on a resilient margin profile: BRC Asia delivered record nine-month revenue of SGD 1,359.6 million (+20.9% YoY), with gross margin holding at approximately 10.5% (3QFY26: 11.4%), continuing the recovery from 10.0% a year earlier on a richer value-added product mix and lower onerous contract provisions.
  • Substantial order book underpins multi-year revenue visibility: The SGD 1.69 billion sales order book (as at 30 June 2026), with project durations up to five years, moderated from its SGD 2.0 billion Changi T5-boosted peak but reflects healthy order conversion rather than a demand slowdown, reinforced by Singapore's elevated construction demand pipeline through 2030.
  • Structural competitive moat and regional diversification support earnings durability: BRC Asia's market-leading 1.2 million MT processing capacity, client-valued inventory scale, and SHFE-linked procurement network underpin margin resilience, while Malaysia (SSM) revenue nearly doubling YoY and new Hong Kong subsidiaries extend growth optionality beyond the core Singapore market.
  • Initiate with a BUY rating along with a SGD 5.26 target price, 25.2% upside: Applying an 12.0x P/E multiple to our FY2028E EPS forecast of 44.0 cents (based on a 10.8% FY28E gross margin), we arrive at a target price of SGD 5.26, representing 25.2% upside from BRC Asia's closing price of SGD 4.20 as of 11 September 2026.

Singapore’s construction sector has been on a multi-year upcycle. Building and Construction Authority (“BCA”) data show construction demand expanded 13.2% year-on-year (YoY) to SGD 50.5 billion in 2025 from SGD 44.6 billion in 2024. BCA expects demand to hold steady at SGD 47–53 billion in 2026, underpinned by major public infrastructure works and a deep pipeline of private residential completions.

BRC Asia, the country’s leading prefabricated reinforcing steel solutions provider, sits at the centre of this upcycle. Incorporated in 1938 and listed on the Mainboard of the Singapore Exchange since 2000, the Group has converted its order book into a record SGD 1,359.6 million of revenue in 9MFY26, with gross margin of approximately 10.5% for the nine-month period, improving from 10.0% a year ago on a richer mix of value-added prefabricated products and lower onerous contract provisions.

The Group is also diversifying its earnings base. Southern Steel Mesh Sdn Bhd (“SSM”), the Malaysian subsidiary acquired in August 2025, helped nearly double Malaysia revenue to SGD 126.9 million in 1HFY26, and BRC Asia incorporated two new Hong Kong subsidiaries in February 2026, signalling early-stage optionality beyond its core Singapore and Malaysia markets.

We initiate coverage on BRC Asia with a BUY rating and a target price of SGD 5.26, representing 25.2% upside from its closing price of SGD 4.20 as of 11 September 2026. Our positive view rests on BRC Asia's structural leadership in a market where scale, inventory depth and procurement reach are genuine, durable advantages. This is further underpinned by a multi-year order book, a balance sheet that has swung decisively into net cash, and early-stage optionality from its Malaysia and Hong Kong expansion. While rising competitive intensity and input cost volatility warrant monitoring, we believe the Group's structural moat and margin durability are not yet fully reflected in its current valuation, which trades at a discount to peers.

Company Overview

Business model spans across three reportable segments

BRC Asia operates factories in Singapore, Malaysia and China, supplying steel products to end-users across Southeast Asia, with trademarks registered for several of its products in markets ranging from Australia to Cambodia and Indonesia. The company operates through three reportable segments: Fabrication and Manufacturing, Trading, and Others.

  • Fabrication and Manufacturing (82.9% of 1HFY26 revenue, SGD 772.0 million, +33% YoY): processing and prefabrication of steel reinforcement, including standard-length rebar, for use in concrete, plus manufacture and sale of BRC Weldfence, cages, cut-and-bend and wire mesh products. Growth was driven by higher domestic construction deliveries and the maiden contribution from SSM in Malaysia.
  • Trading (17.1% of 1HFY26 revenue, SGD 159.0 million, +20% YoY): trading of steel and steel-related products across domestic and international markets, supplemented by an increase in international trade during the period.
  • Others: comprises property development activities and the Group’s 50:50 interest in a joint venture in China, Anhui BRC & MA Steel Weldmesh Co. Ltd, which supplies mesh products (including to high-speed rail projects in central China). This segment contributed no external revenue in 1HFY26 and is currently not material to the revenue mix.

Table 1: BRC Asia product and service offering

Product/Service

Value Proposition

Rebars (short for reinforcement bars), known when massed as reinforcing steel

Manufactured to British and Singapore standards, providing consistent strength and ductility specifications across steel reinforcement bars.

Cages

Mesh bent into prefabricated cages manufactured to project specifications, replacing manual onsite formation of stirrups and links for beams and columns, reducing construction time for schedule-critical projects.

Wire mesh (including Weldfence)

Manufactured to internationally recognised standards, with applications spanning slabs, walls, household shelters, drains and water tanks. Recognised by Singapore's Building and Construction Authority as a productive technology that improves site productivity and helps address skilled labour shortages and carries strong enough brand recognition in the category that mesh products are colloquially referred to as "BRC" in certain markets.

Wires

Manufactured to required specifications for strength and reliability, supporting efficient use with minimal material wastage.

Prefabrication services

Broader prefabrication capability aimed at improving site productivity, enabling builders to build faster and cheaper with more consistent build quality across projects.

Cut-and-bend services

Bars delivered pre-cut and bent to required shape, size and quantity, reducing onsite storage needs and enabling more efficient site space and labour planning.

Source: BRC Asia company website.


Figure 1: Revenue by segment, 1HFY26 vs 1HFY25 (SGD million)

Figure 2: Revenue by geographical market, 1HFY26 vs 1HFY25 (SGD million)


9MFY26 earnings highlights

For the nine months ended 30 June 2026 (“9MFY26”), BRC Asia reported Group revenue of SGD 1,359.6 million (+20.9% YoY), a record nine-month figure, with SGD 428.6 million (+4.8% YoY) recorded in 3QFY26 alone. This builds on the SGD 931.0 million of revenue reported for 1HFY26 (up 30% YoY from SGD 715.6 million in 1HFY25), which had been driven by higher domestic construction deliveries, increased international trade, and the maiden contribution from SSM. In its 3QFY26 business update, management flagged that revenue growth continues to be partially offset by lower steel selling prices amidst a broad decline in global steel prices.

Gross profit for 9MFY26 rose by 26.6% to SGD 142.1 million (3QFY26: SGD 48.8 million), with gross margin of approximately 10.5% for the nine-month period (3QFY26: 11.4%). This follows the sharp margin recovery seen in 1HFY26, when gross profit grew 38.4% YoY to SGD 93.3 million as the Group delivered higher tonnage of value-added prefabricated products with more favourable margins and the provision for onerous contracts fell to SGD 4.5 million from SGD 7.7 million a year earlier, lifting 1HFY26 gross margin to 10.0% from 9.4% in 1HFY25.

The management has flagged that competitive conditions in the reinforcing steel and construction materials sector remain intense, and that margins across the sector may stay under pressure despite healthy demand.

For the 9MFY26 period, net profit rose 24.6% YoY to SGD 79.6 million. On a 3QFY26 basis, net profit rose 25.9% YoY to SGD 27.5 million.

Table 2: Condensed Income Statement

(in SGD '000 unless otherwise stated)

9MFY26

9MFY25

Change (%)

3QFY26

3QFY25

Change (%)

Revenue

1,359,606

1,124,482

+20.9%

428,576

408,856

+4.8%

Gross profit

142,061

112,246

+26.6%

48,765

44,836

+8.8%

Gross profit margin (%)

10.5%

10.0%

+0.5pp

11.4%

11.0%

+0.4pp

Profit for the period

79,626

63,897

+24.6%

27,482

21,829

+25.9%

Total comprehensive income

82,172

63,143

+30.1%

27,453

21,419

+28.2%

Source: BRC Asia 1H FY2026 results announcement.

Data as of the six months ended 31 March 2026.

The sales order book of SGD 1.69 billion as at 30 June 2026 compares with SGD 2.0 billion as at 31 July 2025 (which had been boosted by the Changi T5 contract win), consistent with some order book normalisation from elevated levels as deliveries are converted into revenue.

Balance sheet and cash position

BRC Asia’s balance sheet continued to strengthen through 3QFY26. As of 30 June 2026, cash and cash equivalents stood at SGD 257.5 million against total loans and borrowings of SGD 197.2 million (all current, being bills payable to banks under supplier finance arrangements), placing the Group in a net cash position of SGD 60.4 million. This is a marked improvement from a net debt position of SGD 94.4 million as at 31 March 2025.

Table 3: Summarised net cash position

Metric (in SGD ‘000)

3QFY26

(as of 30 Jun 2026)

1HFY26

(as of 31 Mar 2026)

2HFY25

(as of 30 Sep 2025)

1HFY25

(as of 31 Mar 2025)

Cash and cash equivalents

257,538

197,817

203,121

143,809

Loans and borrowings

197,188

145,789

196,882

238,212

Net cash position / (net debt position)

60,350

52,028

6,239

(94,403)

Source: BRC Asia condensed unaudited interim statements of financial position.

Data as of 30 Jun 2026.

Dividend policy

The Board proposed an interim tax-exempt cash dividend of 8 cents per ordinary share for 1HFY26, up from 6 cents in 1HFY25, representing a payout ratio of approximately 42% of 1HFY26 EPS and a dividend yield of approximately 4%. For FY2025, the Group declared a tax-exempt dividend of 6 Singapore cents, final tax-exempt dividend of 7 cents and a special tax-exempt dividend of 7 cents per share. Total dividends for FY25 totalled to 20 Singapore cents which equates to a payout ratio of 58%. The company currently does not have a fixed dividend policy.

Management and ownership

BRC Asia is led by Executive Directors Xu Jiguo and Seah Kiin Peng, the latter also serving as Chief Executive Officer. The Company’s immediate and ultimate holding company is Green Esteel Pte. Ltd. (“Esteel”), a Singapore-incorporated private company. The Group has significant recurring transactions with companies related to its substantial shareholders – including HL Building Materials Pte. Ltd., HG Metal Manufacturing Limited, Southern Steel Berhad, and Southern Steel Mesh Sdn. Bhd. – for the mutual supply of steel products, raw materials, and management or support services, with the relevant shareholders’ mandates renewed at the Annual General Meeting held on 29 January 2026.

Recent developments

  • 14 August 2025 – Acquisition of Southern Steel Mesh Sdn Bhd (“SSM”): the Malaysian subsidiary has driven a step-change in the Group’s Malaysia revenue, which nearly doubled YoY to S$126.9 million in 1HFY26, and contributed to higher distribution and administrative expenses through expense consolidation.
  • 11 February 2026 – Incorporation of two Hong Kong subsidiaries: BRC Asia (Hong Kong) Limited (import and export trade) and Hong Kong Reinforced Concrete Engineering Company Limited (manufacture of fabricated metal products), each with issued and paid-up share capital of HKD1.00. The Group does not expect any material impact on FY2026 consolidated net tangible assets or earnings per share, but the incorporations signal early-stage optionality for further geographic diversification.

Industry overview

Singapore construction demand remains elevated, with growing competitive intensity

According to the BCA, preliminary construction demand in Singapore reached SGD 50.5 billion in 2025, within its earlier forecast range of SGD 47–53 billion, and is projected to remain steady at the same range in 2026, with public infrastructure and housing programmes as the primary drivers and private sector developments providing additional depth. Landmark public projects – including Changi Airport Terminal 5, the Marina Bay Sands expansion, new healthcare facilities and MRT extensions – are progressing and support project backlogs into coming quarters.

On the supply side, HDB's October 2026 Build-To-Order launch of approximately 7,960 flats across Bedok, Geylang, Sembawang, Tengah, Toa Payoh and Yishun is the largest single exercise of the year, well above the roughly 6,500 unit average per launch seen in 2024 and 2025. Annual BTO supply has held at approximately 19,600 flats for three straight years (2024-2026), below the 2022-2023 catch-up peak of 22,800-23,200 flats. That earlier peak was itself a temporary response to pandemic-era construction delays, while current supply remains meaningfully above the pre-2022 norm of roughly 14,600-17,100 flats a year between 2018 and 2021. This stabilisation, rather than signalling cooling demand, reflects a normalisation to a new, structurally higher steady-state following the post-pandemic supply catch-up.

On the private residential side, URA data show 38,556 units with planning approval in the supply pipeline as at the end of 2Q26, a recovery from the 2024 to 2025 trough of roughly 35,000 to 37,000 units but still meaningfully below the 2023 level of near 44,800 units. More relevant for near term reinforcing steel demand, approximately 60,600 private residential units (including executive condominiums) are expected to be completed in the coming years, up from the 54,000 to 57,000 unit range cited through 2025, pointing to a genuine pickup in projects moving into their later, more steel intensive construction stages rather than just a larger forward pipeline.

The Government has also maintained an elevated level of land supply, with 9,320 units scheduled under the 2026 Government Land Sales Confirmed List, more than 50% above the historical ten-year average annual supply of 6,626 units. This is not a one-off increase: Confirmed List supply has run at elevated levels above the historical average for several consecutive periods since 2023, suggesting a sustained policy stance rather than a temporary boost, and providing a further layer of medium term demand visibility for reinforcing steel.

Figure 3: Residential units under Government Land Sales Programme

A growing sector has attracted competition: new entrants and capacity expansions among existing players have increased competitive intensity in the reinforcing steel market, keeping tender pricing tight.

Cost headwinds have also intensified following the Middle East conflict that erupted in late February 2026, which drove oil and energy prices sharply higher; diesel prices, for example, rose from approximately SGD 2.66 per litre before the war to about SGD 4 as of late August, and overall materials costs are estimated to have risen 5–15% or more since the conflict began. The Government has introduced temporary relief measures, including sharing a portion of diesel and bitumen cost increases for critical public projects (e.g the Cross Island Line and new public housing projects), but contractors and suppliers remain exposed to higher near-term operating costs.

Looking further out, BCA projects construction demand of SGD 39–46 billion per year over 2027–2030 – moderating from the current upcycle but still well above the long-term historical average – while cautioning that demand could soften should adverse global developments materialise. As one-off mega-projects such as Changi T5 move toward completion, the industry may eventually see some reversion toward more typical volumes.

Beyond BCA's 2027–2030 forecast horizon, Singapore's National Day Rally on 23 August 2026 signalled a further, multi-decade layer of demand that could extend the reinforcing steel sector's runway well past the current upcycle.

Prime Minister Lawrence Wong outlined a pipeline of large-scale land reclamation and heavy civil engineering works. A key project is a new western island, formed by merging Semakau, Bukom, Pulau Sudong and adjacent islets, to host advanced manufacturing and power generation facilities, echoing the original Jurong Island project. This will be supported by a second road link to Jurong Island and a new link to the western island itself. Separately, further reclamation is planned to integrate Sentosa and Pulau Brani. Long Island's development along the eastern coastline will also continue. Around Pulau Tekong, further reclamation is planned, alongside feasibility studies for an undersea tunnel connecting it to the mainland.

These projects are explicitly framed as unfolding over multiple decades and terms of government, with no committed near-term capital expenditure schedule, so we do not treat them as a catalyst for near-term earnings. However, they reinforce the structural case for sustained, multi-cycle demand for reinforcing steel and other construction inputs in Singapore.

Competitive Positioning

Scale, prefabrication capability and shareholder-group integration

BRC Asia's current market leadership traces significantly to its 2018 acquisition of rival Lee Metal Group for approximately SGD 200 million. Prior to the deal, Singapore's reinforcing steel market was fragmented and price competitive among multiple fabricators; the consolidation left effectively two major domestic players and is understood to have left BRC Asia with a dominant share of the domestic market. Management has described the deal as unlocking economies of scale across procurement, sales, credit control, logistics and production, benefits that underpin the scale advantages described above nearly a decade on. While the acquisition itself is no longer a forward catalyst, it remains the structural foundation for BRC Asia's current processing capacity, inventory depth, and pricing position in the domestic market.

BRC Asia is Singapore's leading prefabricated reinforcing steel solutions provider, offering a full suite of products and services spanning standard-length rebar, cut-and-bend services, prefabrication services, and standard and customised welded wire mesh. With operations spanning Singapore, Malaysia and China and a workforce of more than 1,000, the Group has an annual processing capacity of 1.2 million MT, currently the largest in the Singapore reinforcing steel market and a scale advantage that is difficult for smaller players to replicate, particularly for large public infrastructure projects with strict delivery schedules.

Scale underpins a client valued inventory buffer. As the precise size and mix of rebar required is often not fully known at the start of a project, and design changes or specification revisions can generate incremental needs mid-build, BRC Asia's large stock position lets it fulfil these unplanned, shorter lead time requirements directly, a service smaller or leaner competitors are less able to match. This purchasing scale has also evolved into a secondary, wholesaling-like revenue stream: the Group can secure rebar at prices below what smaller local players can access directly, and on-sells a portion to fellow industry participants at a margin.

The Group also benefits from integration within its controlling shareholder's broader industrial ecosystem. In 1HFY26, BRC Asia recorded SGD 81.9 million of sales to, and SGD 22.9 million of purchases from, companies related to its substantial shareholders, including HL Building Materials, HG Metal Manufacturing, Southern Steel Berhad and Southern Steel Mesh, under mandates renewed at the January 2026 AGM. This network can support raw material sourcing and distribution, though it also concentrates a meaningful share of the Group's transactions within related parties, a governance factor investors should monitor even though transactions are stated to be on rates and terms agreed on an arm's length basis.

Regionally, the SSM acquisition gives BRC Asia a direct manufacturing and distribution presence in Malaysia, where 1HFY26 revenue nearly doubled YoY, while the new Hong Kong subsidiaries provide early-stage optionality for further overseas expansion beyond the Group's existing Australia, Brunei, Indonesia and Thailand markets. Management indicated it remains actively evaluating further overseas M&A opportunities, alongside continued investment in value added design services layered on top of its core fabrication offering, as the next legs of growth beyond the Malaysia platform.

Investment Thesis

Healthy order book underpins multi-year revenue visibility

As of 30 June 2026, BRC Asia's sales order book stood at approximately SGD 1.69 billion, with project durations extending up to five years. According to management, most of this order book would be fulfilled within the next two years. While the current order book size represents a roughly 23% moderation from the SGD 2.2 billion peak recorded half a year ago (boosted at the time by the SGD 570 million Changi T5 contract win, HDB BTO projects and healthcare facilities), the decline is best read as healthy order book conversion into revenue rather than a demand slowdown: the Group has been converting orders into record deliveries throughout FY2026, and the underlying demand pipeline feeding future order intake remains robust.

Figure 4: BRC Asia’s order book history

On the supply side, private residential completions, the segment most directly tied to near term reinforcing steel demand, are tracking meaningfully higher, with approximately 60,600 units expected to complete in the coming years versus the 54,000-to-57,000-unit range cited through 2025, pointing to more projects entering their steel intensive late stage construction phases. This is reinforced by the Government's Confirmed List land supply, which at 9,320 units for 2026 sits more than 50% above the historical ten-year average and has now run at similarly elevated levels for several consecutive years, a sustained policy stance rather than a temporary boost.

Layered on top of BCA's near-term demand forecast of SGD 47–53 billion for 2026 and a still elevated SGD 39–46 billion per year forecast through 2027–2030, the order book's multi-year duration gives BRC Asia earnings visibility.

Further out, Prime Minister Lawrence Wong's 23 August 2026 National Day Rally outline of decades-long land reclamation and heavy civil engineering works, spanning a new western island merging Semakau, Bukom and Pulau Sudong, further integration of Sentosa and Pulau Brani, continued Long Island development, and Pulau Tekong reclamation, signals a structural, multi-cycle runway for reinforcing steel demand well beyond the current upcycle, even though these projects carry no committed near-term capital expenditure and should not be treated as a near-term catalyst.

Scale-driven competitive moat supports market leadership and client stickiness

Beyond the cyclical demand story, we see BRC Asia's competitive position as structurally advantaged.

With an annual processing capacity of 1.2 million MT, the largest in the Singapore reinforcing steel market, BRC Asia is uniquely positioned to service large public infrastructure projects with strict delivery schedules that smaller players cannot reliably fulfil.

Its scale also underpins a client-valued inventory buffer: because the precise size and mix of rebar required is often not fully known at the start of a project, and design changes or specification revisions generate incremental needs mid-build, BRC Asia's large stock position lets it service these unplanned, shorter lead time requirements directly, a genuine service differentiator rather than just a balance sheet cost.

This dynamic is reinforced by the nature of the product itself: unlike structural steel, which can be engineered, prefabricated offshore and shipped in once its design is finalised, reinforcing steel is cut and bent to project-specific bar bending schedules that are more prone to late-stage design changes, favouring a well-capitalised, responsive local supplier over an import-based model.

We view this combination of processing scale, inventory depth, and a locally necessary product category as a durable moat that should support BRC Asia's market leadership and pricing position even as new entrants and capacity expansions raise near-term competitive intensity.

Figure 5: BRC Asia’s storage yards

350 Jalan Boon Lay

Jurong Port Storage Yard

Source: BRC Asia company website.


Margin recovery has room to continue

Gross margin improved to approximately 10.5% for 9MFY26 (3QFY26: 11.4%), continuing the recovery from 10.0% a year earlier, driven by a richer mix of value-added prefabricated products and a sharp reduction in onerous contract provisions.

We see structural, not just cyclical, supports for this gross margin trend to persist. 

  • First, BRC Asia's scale allows it to function as a “de facto wholesaler” within the domestic market, securing rebar at prices below what smaller local competitors can access and on-selling a portion to industry peers at a margin, a purchasing advantage that widens rather than narrows as the Group's volumes grow.
  • Second, its procurement network in China, priced off the Shanghai Futures Exchange, gives it a transparent forward pricing benchmark that supports more disciplined cost management than smaller domestic peers without equivalent trading relationships. This does not, on its own, drive further margin expansion, but it provides a floor against the current gross margin recovery reversing, cushioning the sector's input cost volatility following the Middle East conflict.

Beyond gross margin, deleveraging is providing a complementary tailwind on the net margin line: finance costs were down 52% YoY on lower borrowings, with bills payable more than a quarter lower half-on-half. This supports net margin and bottom-line profitability, even as distribution and administrative expenses rise on SSM consolidation and higher activity levels.

Taken together, we view the current margin level as more structurally supported than the headline "competitive intensity" narrative in management's own commentary might suggest, though we would flag industry-wide tender pricing pressure and cost pass-through timing as the key swing factors to monitor each quarter.

Malaysia and Hong Kong provide incremental growth optionality

SSM's consolidation nearly doubled Malaysia revenue to SGD 126.9 million in 1HFY26 (14% of total revenue) from SGD 64.1 million a year earlier (9% of total revenue), and a full year of contribution, alongside potential cross-selling into the Group's existing Malaysian operations, should continue to scale this segment meaningfully into FY2027.

Figure 6: Revenue by geographical market, 1HFY26 vs 1HFY25

This diversification is strategically important beyond the immediate revenue contribution: it reduces BRC Asia's earnings sensitivity to any single market's construction cycle and extends the Group's geographic breadth.

Separately, BRC Asia incorporated two Hong Kong subsidiaries in February 2026 – BRC Asia (Hong Kong) Limited and Hong Kong Reinforced Concrete Engineering Company Limited – each with nominal paid-up capital of HKD 1.00. These entities are immaterial to FY2026 earnings and hold no current operations, but they signal management's intent to build further overseas optionality, consistent with management's stated appetite for additional overseas M&A opportunities.

Catalysts

Boost from EQDP, GEMS and passive ETF inflows

BRC Asia is well-positioned to benefit from ongoing initiatives aimed at deepening Singapore’s equity market. The company is already a beneficiary of the Grant for Equity Market Singapore (GEMS) scheme, which supports homegrown firms in strengthening investor engagement and expanding their capital markets footprint. In addition, BRC Asia could see heightened investor attention from the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s Equity Market Development Programme (EQDP), a SGD 6.5 billion initiative focused on boosting liquidity and institutional participation among small- and mid-cap counters. The stock is also in the iEdge Singapore Next 50 Index. These could further elevate BRC Asia’s visibility and liquidity in the market.

AI value chain exploration

On 1 September 2026, BRC Asia announced it is actively exploring potential opportunities in the AI value chain, spanning data centres, semiconductors, cloud and GPU processing, and storage infrastructure, and has engaged Deloitte Singapore and regional legal counsel to support a strategic review of possible diversification into new businesses. This is at an early stage: no transaction, target, or financial commitment has been disclosed, and any material diversification would require shareholder approval. We view this as a longer-dated optionality catalyst rather than a near-term earnings driver, but one worth monitoring given the potential to diversify BRC Asia's business well beyond its core construction materials exposure.

Financial Analysis

Cash generation swung positive as working capital normalised

For 9MFY26, net cash flow generated from operating activities was SGD 100.8 million, with net cash used in investing activities of SGD 1.4 million and net cash used in financing activities of SGD 45.6 million, resulting in a net increase in cash and cash equivalents of SGD 53.8 million for the nine-month period.

This builds on the 1HFY26 performance, when operating cash flow generated SGD 67.8 million, a sharp swing from net cash used in operating activities of SGD 43.5 million in 1HFY25. The 1HFY26 improvement was driven by working capital: inventories fell by SGD 21.9 million (versus a SGD 49.2 million build-up a year earlier) and trade and other payables and contract liabilities rose by SGD 20.1 million, partially offset by a SGD 44.8 million increase in trade and other receivables as the Group’s sales revenue grew.

Capital expenditure rose to SGD 6.8 million in 1HFY26 from SGD 1.3 million in 1HFY25, reflecting greater investment in property, plant and equipment. On the financing side, the Group continued to roll over bills payable to banks under supplier finance arrangements (SGD 563.8 million drawn, SGD 615.0 million repaid in 1HFY26), which bore interest at 1.64%–4.52% per annum (1HFY25: 1.78%–5.04%), while dividends paid were SGD 16.5 million and interest paid fell to SGD 1.7 million from SGD 3.6 million a year earlier.

The allowance for expected credit losses on trade receivables increased to SGD 7.3 million as at 31 March 2026 from SGD 4.6 million at 30 September 2025, reflecting both a SGD 2.6 million net charge for the period and a larger receivables base. This is a metric worth monitoring given the tight tender-pricing environment and rising input costs across the industry, which could pressure smaller customers’ payment ability.

Valuation

We apply a fair price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 12.0x to our FY2028E EPS forecast of 44.0 cents, arriving at a target price of SGD 5.26, representing 25.2% upside from BRC Asia's closing price of SGD 4.20 as of 11 September 2026.

BRC Asia currently trades at 10.4x FY26E earnings, modestly above its 10-year historical forward P/E average of 9.7x, and at a meaningful discount to peers Hong Leong Asia (14.8x FY26E) and Pan United Corp (17.3x FY26E), despite posting a higher FY26E ROE (20.3%) than either.

We treat Pan United as the more relevant independent comparison: despite carrying a similarly concentrated revenue base to BRC Asia, Pan United benefits from the structurally local and non-tradeable nature of ready-mix concrete, which must be produced near the point of use, insulating it from the import competition and global commodity price swings that BRC Asia's rebar business faces directly. Reflecting this difference, we applied a fair P/E multiple of 12.0x target for BRC Asia, below our 15.0x fair P/E for Pan United.

Hong Leong Asia is a less clean benchmark, as it holds an approximate 20% equity stake in BRC Asia itself, meaning its own trading multiple partly reflects the market's valuation of BRC Asia in addition to its Powertrain Solutions (diesel engines, via China Yuchai) and Building Materials businesses; we include it for reference but do not weight it as heavily as Pan United or BRC's own historical trading range.

Our 12.0x target multiple reflects approximately 0.5 standard deviations above BRC Asia's 10-year historical average forward P/E of 9.7x (standard deviation of 4.25x). We believe the premium is justified by the stronger structural drivers highlighted in this report, including order book visibility, the scale and procurement moat, and the improving net cash position.

Table 4: Peer comparison

Company

Market Cap

P/E

P/B

ROE

FY26E

FY27E

FY28E

FY26E

FY27E

FY28E

FY26E

FY27E

FY28E

BRC Asia

1.15B

10.3*

10.1*

9.6*

2.0

1.9

1.7

20.3

20.2

19.0

Hong Leong Asia

2.38B

14.8

13.2

11.2

1.8

1.6

1.3

13.8

13.5

13.8

Pan United Corp

1.11B

17.3

15.1

13.6

3.5

2.8

2.9

21.3

22.6

21.6

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P, *iFAST Estimates. Data as of 11 Sep 2026.

Note: Both Hong Leong Asia and Pan United financial year ends on 31 Dec while BRC Asia’s ends on 30 Sep. Hong Leong Asia holds an approximate 20% equity stake in BRC Asia. HLA's own trading multiple may therefore partly reflect the market's valuation of its BRC Asia holding, in addition to its core Powertrain Solutions and Building Materials businesses. As such, HLA is treated as a less independent reference point than Pan United for peer benchmarking purposes below.

Figure 7: BRC Asia is currently trading slightly above its historical forward P/E average

We anchor the target multiple on FY2028E earnings, by which point we expect gross margin to have expanded to approximately 10.8% as current cost headwinds fade and the structural procurement and wholesaling advantages fully offset near-term competitive pressure, giving a cleaner read on BRC's structural earnings power.

Key structural earnings drivers supporting the multiple:

1. Multi-year order book visibility: SGD 1.69 billion order book (as of 30 June 2026) with project durations up to five years, underpinned by Singapore's elevated construction demand (BCA forecast of SGD 47-53 billion for 2026, SGD 39-46 billion annually through 2027-2030) and a growing pipeline of private residential completions

2. Market leadership and scale moat: largest annual processing capacity (1.2 million MT) in Singapore's reinforcing steel market, tracing to the 2018 Lee Metal consolidation, supporting pricing discipline and client-valued inventory depth that smaller competitors cannot replicate

3. Structural procurement advantage: China-based trading network priced off the Shanghai Futures Exchange, plus a “de facto” wholesaling function from bulk purchasing scale, both providing a cushion against input cost volatility and a source of margin durability that we expect to sustain gross margin through FY27E and support expansion into FY28E

4. Net cash balance sheet: swing from net debt to a SGD 60.4 million net cash position (as of 30 June 2026) supporting continued deleveraging, dividend capacity, and balance sheet flexibility for further M&A

5. Regional diversification optionality: Malaysia (SSM) revenue nearly doubling YoY and new Hong Kong subsidiaries providing early-stage optionality for further overseas expansion, reducing reliance on the Singapore cycle alone

6. Long-run demand runway: Singapore's National Day Rally-outlined multi-decade land reclamation and infrastructure pipeline (Western Island, Long Island, Pulau Tekong), extending the structural demand case for reinforcing steel well beyond the current BCA forecast horizon, even though not treated as a near-term catalyst

Taken together, we view 12.0x FY2028E EPS as an appropriately conservative multiple that credits BRC Asia's structural moat and margin durability.

Table 5: Earnings table

BRC Asia

FY25A

FY26E

FY27E

FY28E

P/E Ratio (X)

12.2x

10.3x

10.1x

9.6x

Earnings growth (%)

0.8%

18.6%

2.4%

5.0%

EPS (in SGD)

0.34

0.41

0.42

0.44

Upside Potential (%) (Fair P/E of 12X)

25.2%

Target Price

SGD 5.26

Current Price

SGD 4.20

Historical data is based on company data. Forecasted data is based on iFAST Estimates.

Data as of 11 Sep 2026.


Figure 8: Share price and EPS chart

Investment risks

Tender pricing pressure and rising competitive intensity

New entrants and capacity expansions among existing players have increased competitive intensity in Singapore’s reinforcing steel market, keeping tender pricing tight even as volumes remain high. This could compress gross margins if BRC Asia is unable to sustain its current value-added product mix and cost discipline.

Input cost and energy price volatility

The Middle East conflict that erupted in late February 2026 has driven sharp increases in oil, energy and materials costs – diesel prices more than doubled within weeks, and overall materials costs are estimated to have risen 5–15% or more. While the Government has introduced some relief measures for critical public projects, contractors and suppliers remain exposed to elevated near-term operating costs that could pressure margins if not fully passed through to customers. Management has shared that they have managed to lock in energy prices from their suppliers late last year, with contracts renewed on a three-year basis.

Rising credit risk on trade receivables

The allowance for expected credit losses on trade receivables rose to SGD 7.3 million as at 31 March 2026 from SGD 4.6 million at 30 September 2025, alongside a growing receivables base. A prolonged period of tight tender pricing and rising input costs industry-wide could increase the risk of customer non-payment or contract disputes.

Construction cycle normalisation risk

BRC Asia's own order book has already moderated from SGD 2.0 billion as at 31 July 2025 (boosted by the Changi T5 contract win) to SGD 1.69 billion as at 30 June 2026, a decline of approximately 15%, as deliveries convert into revenue faster than new orders are booked. Separately, BCA projects Singapore construction demand to moderate to SGD 39–46 billion per year over 2027–2030 from the current upcycle and cautioned that demand could soften further if adverse global developments materialise. As one-off mega-projects such as Changi T5 move toward completion, the industry may eventually see some reversion to more typical volumes, which could weigh on order book replenishment beyond the current multi-year visibility. We view the current order book as healthy, and would expect management to remain selective on new orders to optimise margins, rather than pursue order book growth at any cost in a tender environment already described as competitive.

Related-party transaction concentration

A meaningful share of BRC Asia’s sales and purchases (SGD 81.9 million and SGD 22.9 million respectively in 1HFY26) are transacted with companies related to its substantial shareholders. While these are disclosed as being on arm’s-length rates and terms and are subject to periodic shareholder mandate renewal, the concentration of related-party dealings is a governance factor that investors should continue to monitor.

Integration and execution risk from Malaysia and Hong Kong expansion

The consolidation of SSM has driven higher distribution and administrative expenses alongside revenue growth, and the newly incorporated Hong Kong subsidiaries represent an early-stage, unproven expansion into a new market. Execution missteps or slower-than-expected ramp-up in either market could dilute the anticipated benefits of geographic diversification.

Note

iFAST Research rating system

iFAST Research employs a five-tier rating system: Buy (material upside potential, favourable risk-return); Accumulate (moderate upside, selectively add on weakness); Hold (limited upside, maintain existing positions); Trim (upside insufficient to justify a full position, reduce exposure on strength); and Sell (material downside risk, exit position).

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